0x1Ba6575F2072435aB580D7D285A6F0F4E867193A-1783203214524
0x1ba6575f2072435ab580d7d285a6f0f4e867193a
- Realised P&L
- $463.10
- Volume
- $41.0k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $582.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.13at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 26?
- +$45.97at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?
- +$44.67at 0.868Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?
- +$40.03at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1?
- +$38.06at 0.986Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.89 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 11-01 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.52 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.52 |
| 11-01 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.58 |
| 11-01 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |