PolyBot

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Traders

0x1Ba6575F2072435aB580D7D285A6F0F4E867193A-1783203214524

0x1ba6575f2072435ab580d7d285a6f0f4e867193a

Realised P&L
$463.10
Volume
$41.0k
Markets traded
577
Open portfolio
$582.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded577
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? · No0.6390.850$22.66+$5.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2? · No0.8540.760$20.27−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? · No0.6800.995$19.90+$6.30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2? · No0.9760.985$16.41+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 2? · No0.9940.995$14.92+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 2? · No0.9060.925$13.88+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? · No0.5490.385$10.26−$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? · No0.8511.000$9.99+$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3? · No0.9970.996$9.96−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3? · No0.9970.990$9.89−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2? · No0.9870.983$9.83−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 2? · No0.9900.970$9.70−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3? · No0.9870.970$9.70−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 3? · No0.9600.962$9.62+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? · No0.6500.635$9.53−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:08Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?SELL0.999$9.99
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?SELL0.999$3.89
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-02 00:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-02 00:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-02 00:01Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on November 2?BUY0.99$9.90
11-01 23:31Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1?SELL0.998$4.99
11-01 23:31Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?SELL0.002$0.01
11-01 23:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-01 23:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-01 23:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00
11-01 23:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.999$4.52
11-01 23:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 1?SELL0.999$4.52
11-01 23:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?SELL0.999$3.58
11-01 23:28Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1?SELL0.999$5.00