atestoftime
0x1ba59a2bff55939650ce86d5e0303850221aed33
- Realised P&L
- $-572.36
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $101.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.065 | $101.98 | −$223.01 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20? · Down | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12? · Down | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.15at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.1967399195 | $225.00 |
| 07-20 12:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.019496978 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.2351081575 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 16:10 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999965 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 15:58 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $15.00 |
| 06-12 15:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 15:57 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0849999963 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 15:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.1556168873 | $250.00 |
| 06-12 14:58 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12? | BUY | 0.3717064896 | $150.00 |