PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ba4717b7c0cffb45d53fb41e3d6bcfe1aca8d50

Realised P&L
$-4.29
Volume
$28.22
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.6801.000$1.62+$0.52
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6500.095$0.16$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 06:01Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3599999476$1.10
09-13 22:00Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6499998818$1.10
09-10 07:26SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.7199998953$1.10
09-09 17:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4099999739$1.10
09-09 17:05Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2999999727$1.10
09-09 17:04Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2799999593$1.10
09-09 16:54Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998967$1.10
09-09 16:49Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?BUY0.5199999055$1.10
09-09 08:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6099998946$1.10
09-08 10:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799996044$1.10
09-08 00:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.2399999651$1.10