ManiclikeMilei
0x1ba425d388424af22829d9ce552595532cde263a
- Realised P&L
- $-38.09
- Volume
- $663.09
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $26.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.436 | $9.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.800 | $8.89 | −$1.11 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.695 | $8.58 | −$1.42 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.846 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.55at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$11.52at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$9.65at 0.512Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$7.03at 0.592Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$6.87at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:53 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8899999968 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 09:53 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8099999899 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 09:52 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7899999941 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 09:52 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7599999873 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 14:49 | Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4839999772 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:44 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:44 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5050032949 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8459999978 | $10.00 |