0x1b9cc5e4512d7a6e00d2338ad3ef2a345709aa50
0x1b9cc5e4512d7a6e00d2338ad3ef2a345709aa50
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 800
- Open portfolio
- $443.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded800
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.80at 0.500Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
- +$18.82at 0.749JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$12.60at 0.115Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$7.42at 0.131Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
- +$6.90at 0.180Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.17 |
| 10-01 16:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-30 18:24 | Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.26 |
| 09-30 18:08 | Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-30 17:58 | Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-30 17:42 | Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-17 06:28 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 16:11 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.315 | $6.30 |
| 09-16 06:04 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.63 |
| 09-16 05:59 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-15 15:01 | Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 01:59 | Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-15 01:54 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.5 | $9.88 |
| 09-15 01:21 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.12 |
| 09-14 23:35 | Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.08 |