PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

WaterF

0x1b8ee44502064117ba3413d3a0f9dd2c3e3eaf25

Realised P&L
$134.88
Volume
$286.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$335.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.003$261.73+$52.76
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.002$47.62−$24.51
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0010.002$15.00+$5.00
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0130.002$5.37−$42.62
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.002$3.51−$8.48
Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.0050.012$2.39+$1.39
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0970.000$0.00−$9.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 17:41Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.001$1.00
10-24 21:07Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$30.00
10-23 21:14Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.003$30.00
09-29 23:32Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$5.00
09-29 23:28Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$30.00
09-26 19:29Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?SELL0.0593794155$34.66
09-09 10:27Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0147840239$8.00
09-09 07:24Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.001$10.00
09-09 06:58Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0133014795$20.00
09-09 06:58Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0058322155$2.00
09-09 06:58Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.013$20.00
09-09 06:57Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.001$10.00
09-09 06:57Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.005$10.00
09-09 06:44Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$10.00
09-07 15:34Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0020200928$31.00