PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1b8a3158903d9d983d8f06eb940ca215eda89c2f

0x1b8a3158903d9d983d8f06eb940ca215eda89c2f

Realised P&L
$-612.05
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$0.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.001$0.04−$19.96
Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 17:53Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
10-03 16:24Will England win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.92$80.69
10-03 15:59Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?BUY0.3399999989$50.00
10-03 15:58Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
10-03 12:59Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw?BUY0.3299999997$30.00
10-02 15:17Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$20.00
10-02 15:15Will France win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3299999979$20.00
10-02 14:56Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw?SELL0.29$30.00
10-02 13:58Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw?BUY0.2899999996$30.00
10-02 11:58Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw?SELL0.4$57.14
10-02 10:59Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw?BUY0.2099999998$30.00
10-01 14:56Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.1899999948$2.55
10-01 14:51Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4099999984$20.00
10-01 14:51Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4399999947$20.00
10-01 14:50Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4799999962$20.00