0x1b8a3158903d9d983d8f06eb940ca215eda89c2f
0x1b8a3158903d9d983d8f06eb940ca215eda89c2f
- Realised P&L
- $-612.05
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$19.96 |
| Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.56at 0.124Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings
- +$116.54at 0.308Great Britain vs. Iceland
- +$101.97at 0.646Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$93.60at 0.477England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$65.27at 0.124Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:53 | Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 16:24 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.92 | $80.69 |
| 10-03 15:59 | Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 15:58 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 12:59 | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 15:17 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 14:56 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw? | SELL | 0.29 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 13:58 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 11:58 | Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | SELL | 0.4 | $57.14 |
| 10-02 10:59 | Will Korea Republic vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 14:56 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1899999948 | $2.55 |
| 10-01 14:51 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 14:51 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 14:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |