0x1B87Ce122eC6A546Ddf930f90D20eEDb0E16CA54-1780930645935
0x1b87ce122ec6a546ddf930f90d20eedb0e16ca54
- Realised P&L
- $30.15
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $471.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.979 | $291.22 | +$41.22 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.977 | $154.02 | +$46.85 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.041 | $26.65 | −$54.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 17:46 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $84.49 |
| 06-09 13:03 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.6798012684 | $107.17 |
| 06-09 13:02 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8399999996 | $250.00 |