0x1b753f393241daa8c4668c49bbbb982207f00648
0x1b753f393241daa8c4668c49bbbb982207f00648
- Realised P&L
- $1.83
- Volume
- $104.01
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $8.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.510 | $1.96 | +$0.96 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.979 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.575 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.855 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.840 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.683 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.610 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 8?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:48 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:07 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:42 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:52 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:51 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:50 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |