0x1b631641332d52b8a360cb47083c474f8f156dc0
0x1b631641332d52b8a360cb47083c474f8f156dc0
- Realised P&L
- $9.18
- Volume
- $214.58
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $1.51
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.790 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.330 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.31at 0.239Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:24 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 00:28 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:40 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 14:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:57 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:57 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 10:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |