0x1b625b8fcdc3b3f176f483e3bbcc0309d55d4527
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $215.5k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $560.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.028 | $560.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.54at 0.298Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$158.31at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$80.78at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?
- +$47.73at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?
- +$38.95at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0283773388 | $197.21 |
| 07-30 08:17 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1498038259 | $113.55 |
| 07-30 08:16 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1399999986 | $80.00 |
| 07-30 08:15 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 07-30 08:14 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 07-30 08:14 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1282934096 | $134.00 |
| 07-30 08:14 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.12 | $85.56 |
| 07-30 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.0015017021 | $0.28 |
| 07-30 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2788461412 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2729044647 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.282888172 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2681273046 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2504638089 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 22:38 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.120020363 | $105.00 |
| 07-29 22:38 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $350.00 |