SpiceRider
0x1b5e635df029159796f7204e9306c32e2bf16cb7
- Realised P&L
- $155.05
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $518.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.29at 0.634US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
- +$30.21at 0.500U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
- +$11.67at 0.300Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$10.88at 0.817Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
- +$10.80at 0.640Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4787170383 | $150.00 |
| 09-13 09:01 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | SELL | 0.9765481501 | $150.18 |
| 09-13 08:59 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $3.40 |
| 07-21 19:10 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 19:01 | Will Oleh Apostol be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 19:00 | Will Andrii Biletskyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026? | BUY | 0.0195740683 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:55 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.102999968 | $2.61 |
| 06-27 14:28 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.1799999525 | $2.50 |
| 06-11 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999924 | $83.83 |
| 06-11 19:06 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $60.87 |
| 03-01 14:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999892 | $50.00 |
| 03-01 13:57 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2839184486 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 18:59 | Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 18:58 | Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 18:50 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.7014644235 | $50.00 |