95de
0x1b5655739e33491a3d831bcb51e2c74e0501715e
- Realised P&L
- $49.6k
- Volume
- $11.83M
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No | 0.889 | 0.870 | $4.1k | −$89.63 |
| Boluspor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.867 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$154.54 |
| Boluspor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.800 | 1.000 | $149.93 | +$29.93 |
| Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.172 | 0.001 | $1.70 | −$582.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.1kat 0.163Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$23.2kat 0.421Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$22.3kat 0.531Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$16.5kat 0.450Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.7kat 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 19:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $366.26 |
| 08-07 06:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.5k |
| 08-05 17:07 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.51 | $60.69 |
| 07-26 11:56 | Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $886.80 |
| 07-26 11:15 | Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26? | BUY | 0.23 | $956.84 |
| 07-23 00:27 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.45 | $818.04 |
| 07-16 17:30 | Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-16? | SELL | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0075 | $1.13 |
| 07-14 19:18 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.16 | $188.16 |
| 06-30 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 06-27 00:33 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.9k |
| 06-18 15:39 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.873 | $130.08 |
| 06-17 17:08 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 06-17 09:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $637.88 |
| 06-17 08:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |