95de
0x1b5655739e33491a3d831bcb51e2c74e0501715e
- Realised P&L
- $23.5k
- Volume
- $13.07M
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.675 | $9.6k | −$396.56 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $2.6k | +$23.19 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.805 | $1.4k | +$26.68 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.585 | $654.94 | +$5.60 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No | 0.654 | 0.320 | $201.93 | −$211.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.1kat 0.163Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$23.2kat 0.421Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$22.3kat 0.531Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$16.5kat 0.450Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.7kat 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:28 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.70 |
| 09-15 10:39 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.58 | $82.36 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.57 | $243.55 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.08 |
| 09-13 16:58 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.51 |
| 09-13 16:08 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.51 | $13.48 |
| 08-31 21:35 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.83 | $28.73 |
| 08-31 21:33 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.25 |
| 08-27 07:06 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.6k |
| 08-26 16:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.76 | $69.27 |
| 08-25 10:05 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.74 | $63.96 |
| 08-25 00:02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.74 | $182.38 |
| 08-24 19:24 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.3k |
| 08-24 17:30 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24? | SELL | 0.5 | $937.00 |
| 08-23 21:58 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.68 | $504.46 |