PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

always-settle

0x1b53c759e311975655a557d1561be3692d489f50

Realised P&L
$-39.97
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$79.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Yes0.3200.255$38.25−$9.75
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? · Yes0.3510.415$26.58+$4.07
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? · No0.5900.585$14.63−$0.13
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in October? · Yes0.1250.026$0.27−$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 13:36US imports Russian diesel by November 30?SELL0.46$92.00
10-31 13:36US imports Russian diesel by November 30?SELL0.53$31.55
10-30 17:18Government shutdown by December 31?SELL0.45$22.50
10-29 10:47Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.93$48.83
10-29 10:47Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.06$11.70
10-28 22:58Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?SELL0.7371510297$12.89
10-28 22:53Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?SELL0.744$46.50
10-28 22:03Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?SELL0.6202548726$4.14
10-28 21:58Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?SELL0.66$8.80