Igor0001
0x1b4a0bd6f3701e5a22726c7fda7a9d9c75578a46
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $120.5k
- Markets traded
- 797
- Open portfolio
- $109.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded797
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.74at 0.316Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
- +$287.11at 0.514Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$243.72at 0.295Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?
- +$190.33at 0.575Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?
- +$186.20at 0.520Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:23 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 5? | BUY | 0.5596388436 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 06:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 5? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 14:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.379620369 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $2.68 |
| 09-20 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-16 06:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 16:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on September 15? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 17:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 11? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 17:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 15:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 15:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 14? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.61 |
| 08-14 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.06 |