IAmSeuz
0x1b465337d65eea5544681753fe454142968c78bd
- Realised P&L
- $-39.7k
- Volume
- $235.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.901 | 0.784 | $2.0k | −$300.51 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.891 | 0.931 | $1.0k | +$45.92 |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.368 | 0.280 | $760.58 | −$239.42 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.00 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.98 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.809 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.724 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$760.98at 0.726Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$718.64at 0.300Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$697.43at 0.683Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
- +$602.80at 0.971Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
- +$437.50at 0.883Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9219379421 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 12:29 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9373626494 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 12:27 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3681392326 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 12:26 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9305413759 | $700.00 |
| 09-15 05:13 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8906072106 | $1000.00 |
| 09-15 05:01 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7464457693 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 15:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $74.29 |
| 07-23 14:19 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 07-18 18:37 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9340280869 | $1.3k |
| 07-16 22:07 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.78 | $98.85 |
| 07-08 21:01 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.97169568 | $971.70 |
| 07-08 05:19 | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $240.00 |
| 07-08 05:13 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.60 |
| 07-08 05:09 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $32.37 |
| 07-01 02:25 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $2.0k |