0x1b45019Cd90ed1f43215712ba9b7279ed9311bae-1763210014814
0x1b45019cd90ed1f43215712ba9b7279ed9311bae
- Realised P&L
- $169.84
- Volume
- $184.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $150.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $150.07 | +$0.08 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.86at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?
- +$12.32at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?
- +$12.00at 0.960Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3AM ET
- +$11.52at 0.951Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?
- +$11.21at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 10-09 04:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9979999947 | $150.00 |
| 10-06 01:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9984017171 | $342.00 |
| 10-03 02:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9969999978 | $341.00 |
| 10-01 05:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $341.00 |
| 09-26 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999977 | $340.00 |
| 09-23 01:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $339.00 |
| 09-21 05:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $339.00 |
| 09-18 16:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $338.00 |
| 09-13 03:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998999998 | $337.00 |
| 09-11 12:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $337.00 |
| 09-06 23:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $336.00 |
| 09-02 23:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3? | BUY | 0.9949999973 | $335.00 |
| 08-29 23:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999984 | $334.00 |
| 08-27 08:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $333.00 |