PolyBot

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Traders

abagrin

0x1b338b719c193443a6565bf9733fe45e2b409f80

Realised P&L
$-139.52
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$64.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 26? · No0.6520.965$22.01+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26? · No0.3890.590$17.85+$6.09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? · No0.4210.495$9.81+$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27? · No0.6310.545$7.62−$1.21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 26? · Yes0.2120.365$5.76+$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27? · Yes0.1070.085$1.47−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No0.5900.020$0.39−$11.07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 25? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$6.34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 28? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 29? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00−$25.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 26? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$23.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 1? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$9.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 17:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 26?BUY0.2117579153$3.34
09-26 17:20Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.5899999943$11.46
09-26 15:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27?BUY0.6314401449$8.83
09-26 14:44Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27?BUY0.1071052586$1.85
09-26 10:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26?BUY0.4207130238$8.34
09-26 08:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26?BUY0.3887603306$11.76
09-26 07:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 26?BUY0.652460722$14.88
07-26 19:42Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26?SELL0.1092857143$1.53
07-26 16:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?BUY0.28$5.67
07-26 12:13Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?BUY0.339999962$4.83
07-26 11:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26?BUY0.17$2.38
07-25 20:24Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 25?SELL0.17$2.20
07-25 19:17Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 25?SELL0.4474557316$4.80
07-25 18:46Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 25?SELL0.01$0.19
07-25 18:45Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 25?SELL0.41$1.64