abagrin
0x1b338b719c193443a6565bf9733fe45e2b409f80
- Realised P&L
- $-139.52
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $64.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.89at 0.611Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?
- +$164.88at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 30?
- +$125.64at 0.165Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?
- +$103.02at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?
- +$78.33at 0.366Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2117579153 | $3.34 |
| 09-26 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5899999943 | $11.46 |
| 09-26 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.6314401449 | $8.83 |
| 09-26 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1071052586 | $1.85 |
| 09-26 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.4207130238 | $8.34 |
| 09-26 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3887603306 | $11.76 |
| 09-26 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.652460722 | $14.88 |
| 07-26 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26? | SELL | 0.1092857143 | $1.53 |
| 07-26 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.67 |
| 07-26 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.339999962 | $4.83 |
| 07-26 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.38 |
| 07-25 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 25? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.20 |
| 07-25 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 25? | SELL | 0.4474557316 | $4.80 |
| 07-25 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 07-25 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 25? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.64 |