0x1b30e7f1e3f1457909aff492ac30624eb9fb58fb
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $117.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.59at 0.780Nickal vs. Craig
- +$24.14at 0.290Araujo vs. Silva
- +$18.68at 0.342Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$15.00at 0.400UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico
- +$8.24at 0.340UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 07:19 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $9.78 |
| 07-04 06:17 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | BUY | 0.0459999957 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 06:14 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:14 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.0202336895 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:12 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:12 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.0203755298 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:11 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:11 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:00 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.1028123117 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:00 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 06:00 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.3565543018 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 05:59 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.1019999956 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 05:59 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 05:59 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0686684508 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 05:57 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.1016797046 | $20.00 |