PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4a377de0FC59d68D9236AFdcf0E81bD2C71973Ac-1776019727899

0x1b2cfd86d1d66173aac9c43437024ffc134b5805

Realised P&L
$48.06
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$11.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.1000.080$5.60−$1.40
Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? · No0.9600.905$1.89−$0.11
Will Chile win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1700.125$1.47−$0.53
Will Australia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Peru win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1700.135$0.79−$0.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0050.003$0.50−$0.50
Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.0600.029$0.49−$0.51
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? · No0.9300.255$0.27−$0.73
Will Spain win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs · Rostik Team0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In · KUUSAMO.gg0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Columbus Crew vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 01:23Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.8299999967$10.00
09-28 01:09Will Columbus Crew vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
09-28 00:57Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$10.85
09-28 00:29Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy vs. San Martin de Tucuman end in a draw?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-28 00:19Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
09-28 00:18Will Costa Rica win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.029$0.73
09-27 23:43Will Costa Rica win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.04$1.00
09-27 23:42Cardinals vs. 49ersSELL0.999$6.24
09-27 21:19Cardinals vs. 49ersBUY0.96$6.00
09-27 21:06Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?BUY0.96$2.00
09-27 20:56Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.019$1.00
09-27 20:53LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsSELL0.999$1.29
09-27 20:53Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$3.03
09-27 20:52Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$6.65
09-27 19:03Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.2$1.00