PolyBot

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Traders

sinesimd.1

0x1b2a5494bd621f37bf5ea5234f348d0eb97ca3f8

Realised P&L
$-15.61
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$33.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.972$9.72+$9.60
Will Novorizontino win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0240.511$5.12+$4.88
Will Vila Nova win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0240.506$5.07+$4.83
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0240.504$5.04+$4.80
Will Fortaleza win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0240.497$4.97+$4.74
Will Criciúma win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.0240.192$1.92+$1.68
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.076$0.76+$0.72
Will Kerry Carpenter win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.013$0.14+$0.02
Will Mark Vientos win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.006$0.06−$0.06
Will George Springer win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.005$0.06−$0.06
Will Starling Marte win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.005$0.06−$0.06
Will Eugenio Suarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.005$0.05−$0.07
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.004$0.04−$0.00
Will Samuel Basallo win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.004$0.04−$0.08
Will Giancarlo Stanton win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? · Yes0.0120.003$0.03−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 05:05Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?SELL0.004$0.04
05-07 05:05Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.01$0.10
05-07 05:05Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 7?SELL0.006$0.06
05-07 05:05Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?SELL0.004982$0.05
05-07 05:05Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 7?SELL0.013$0.13
05-07 05:04Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$0.04
05-07 05:04Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 8?SELL0.002$0.02
05-07 05:03Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?SELL0.01$0.10
05-07 05:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 8?SELL0.015$0.15
05-07 05:03Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.036$0.36
05-07 05:01Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?SELL0.031$0.15
05-07 05:01Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?SELL0.045$0.22
05-07 05:01Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?SELL0.056$0.28
05-07 05:01Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 7?SELL0.01$0.10
05-07 05:01Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.034$0.34