sinesimd.1
0x1b2a5494bd621f37bf5ea5234f348d0eb97ca3f8
- Realised P&L
- $-15.61
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $33.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.91at 0.009Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.90at 0.010Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?
- +$9.76at 0.020Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$9.53at 0.017Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$9.50at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 05:05 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 05-07 05:05 | Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 05-07 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 7? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 05-07 05:05 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.004982 | $0.05 |
| 05-07 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 7? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.13 |
| 05-07 05:04 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 05-07 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 05-07 05:03 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 05-07 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 8? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 05-07 05:03 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.36 |
| 05-07 05:01 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 05-07 05:01 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.22 |
| 05-07 05:01 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.28 |
| 05-07 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 05-07 05:01 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.34 |