0x1b2a22bec7a784cd7768ed4953ffc373add3a253
0x1b2a22bec7a784cd7768ed4953ffc373add3a253
- Realised P&L
- $-1.86
- Volume
- $228.27
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.170 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.51at 0.268Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.89at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$2.53at 0.393Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:20 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.95 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:07 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4299999113 | $1.60 |
| 09-23 02:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999797 | $1.60 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.359999955 | $1.60 |
| 09-20 03:55 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999352 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 11:02 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999533 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 02:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6199998915 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 18:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 00:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.28 |