jonah20
0x1b2299d8380168c73398b14781db9e8c266ab044
- Realised P&L
- $-370.66
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $153.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.019 | $153.96 | −$346.03 |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.02at 0.430No one announced as next James Bond?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 05:03 | Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.0151917852 | $29.35 |
| 02-07 15:35 | Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1039603832 | $7.00 |
| 02-07 01:59 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $40.00 |
| 02-07 01:58 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1200378021 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 01:57 | Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0059523747 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 01:56 | Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0168771721 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 01:49 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BUY | 0.0519592186 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 01:39 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0336321049 | $20.00 |
| 02-06 14:18 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0657987709 | $300.00 |
| 02-06 13:33 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599547993 | $200.00 |