PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Soypluma

0x1b15e2db4c2e868954890cb4e58ed0b804b877b1

Realised P&L
$-405.38
Volume
$85.0k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$21.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6120.081$18.52$121.48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1570.005$3.18$96.82
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$180.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 02:32Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?BUY0.0042964554$80.00
08-27 02:31Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?BUY0.0015587112$101.00
08-27 02:29Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.5789862907$193.85
08-03 03:22Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6123237646$140.00
08-03 03:15Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5973415309$200.00
08-03 03:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1571926956$100.00