Soypluma
0x1b15e2db4c2e868954890cb4e58ed0b804b877b1
- Realised P&L
- $-405.38
- Volume
- $85.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $21.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.081 | $18.52 | −$121.48 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.005 | $3.18 | −$96.82 |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-12.63at 0.607Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 02:32 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.0042964554 | $80.00 |
| 08-27 02:31 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.0015587112 | $101.00 |
| 08-27 02:29 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.5789862907 | $193.85 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6123237646 | $140.00 |
| 08-03 03:15 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5973415309 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 03:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1571926956 | $100.00 |