PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Guesswho202

0x1b1040c29459d963c9fd8b17fb5bbc301c70ce9e

Realised P&L
$-3.47
Volume
$536.84
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 12:55Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?BUY0.05$1.05
06-20 12:55Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?BUY0.049$1.05
06-20 12:55Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?BUY0.357$1.32
06-20 12:51Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.0414512864$0.98
06-20 12:51Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.043692$0.87
06-20 12:50Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?SELL0.077$0.91
06-15 15:02Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-15 15:02Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0405820329$0.96
06-15 15:01Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?BUY0.031$1.05
06-06 20:44Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?BUY0.047$1.05
06-06 20:44Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?BUY0.041$1.05
06-06 20:44Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?BUY0.037$1.05
06-06 20:44Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?BUY0.037$0.44
06-06 20:44Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.035$0.98
06-06 20:44Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.029$0.21