derekgod333
0x1b0d7145f52b7820e092d2422ab56f499d816d01
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $9.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.410 | 0.480 | $9.60 | +$1.40 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors · Trail Blazers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$265.60 |
| Canucks vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Hurricanes vs. Capitals · Capitals | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$567.84 |
| Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$579.60 |
| Panthers vs. Utah · Utah | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$382.08 |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.24 |
| Blues vs. Senators · Senators | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.82 |
| Bruins vs. Red Wings · Bruins | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.10 |
| Flyers vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.78 |
| Blues vs. Bruins · Blues | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$379.60 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Red Wings vs. Flames · Flames | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$379.20 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.320Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
- +$615.00at 0.590Kings vs. Pacers
- +$396.16at 0.360Avalanche vs. Islanders
- +$283.50at 0.500Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- +$188.70at 0.490Senators vs. Canadiens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-03 02:59 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $4.86 |
| 06-02 07:28 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.49 | $10.14 |
| 02-09 05:45 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 12:02 | XRP Up or Down on January 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 12-26 05:10 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.50 |
| 12-11 13:39 | Jazz vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.71 | $315.24 |
| 12-10 14:09 | Hurricanes vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.48 | $567.84 |
| 12-10 12:24 | Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.32 | $582.40 |
| 12-09 16:10 | Panthers vs. Utah | BUY | 0.48 | $382.08 |
| 12-09 15:36 | Kings vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.43 | $123.41 |
| 12-09 14:12 | Red Wings vs. Flames | BUY | 0.48 | $379.20 |
| 12-07 13:08 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $283.50 |
| 12-03 14:04 | Avalanche vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.36 | $222.84 |
| 12-01 13:42 | Senators vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.49 | $181.30 |