rollappcentric
0x1b0988fcc46d925d7bef279acccb932450875afc
- Realised P&L
- $-57.72
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $11.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.032 | $11.20 | −$25.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.88at 0.800Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
- +$8.57at 0.570Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
- +$4.01at 0.920Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
- +$3.13at 0.804Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
- +$1.67at 0.950Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 13:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.85 |
| 02-20 13:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999531 | $5.84 |
| 02-20 13:08 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.00 |
| 02-20 13:07 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999075 | $4.00 |
| 02-20 13:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.935 | $14.84 |
| 01-29 08:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $14.45 |
| 01-29 08:49 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999949 | $22.00 |
| 09-25 03:14 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.4693523885 | $64.43 |
| 07-14 03:08 | Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $51.54 |
| 06-14 07:45 | Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | BUY | 0.5837291712 | $50.15 |
| 04-12 06:20 | Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | BUY | 0.9199999848 | $46.13 |
| 04-12 06:18 | Will Inter Milan win the Serie A? | SELL | 0.7 | $46.14 |
| 03-10 08:48 | Will Inter Milan win the Serie A? | BUY | 0.5699999995 | $37.57 |
| 03-10 08:46 | Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | SELL | 0.877 | $37.57 |
| 02-02 10:15 | Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | BUY | 0.8039999995 | $34.45 |