PolyBot

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Traders

lumie

0x1b07073f60b6fbd6b56b5bc578b44c4dc941055f

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$238.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$29.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · No0.8500.960$19.20+$2.20
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1990.122$10.37$6.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:22Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.774$3.5k
09-15 09:00Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$3.7k
09-15 08:56Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.85$850.00
09-15 08:50Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.85$2.5k
09-15 08:04Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.85$595.00
09-11 06:50Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.702$1.5k
09-11 06:42Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.702$561.60
09-11 03:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.63$2.1k
09-11 02:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.62$2.0k
09-11 02:21Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?BUY0.716$2.1k
09-10 03:24Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.65$3.2k
09-10 02:58Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?SELL0.86$4.1k
09-07 03:30Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.226$4.22
09-07 02:04Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.226$2.26
09-04 03:41Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.27$2.8k