wirgumzzzz
0x1b0628963cb9185597e6bebf2f271a3d003c1e11
- Realised P&L
- $15.13
- Volume
- $223.53
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $52.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.810 | $20.25 | −$2.00 |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes | 0.749 | 0.606 | $18.16 | −$4.30 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.665 | $9.97 | −$0.67 |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.595 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.07at 0.810Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.61at 0.903Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.981Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:23 | Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 10-29 07:23 | Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-29 07:23 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.64 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.749 | $3.75 |
| 09-21 20:47 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.9799999967 | $54.00 |
| 09-21 16:46 | Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 16:26 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 07:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999899 | $60.00 |