cryson
0x1b05e3880794099f6206f1a5471f5dac56195dbb
- Realised P&L
- $4.33
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $3.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:35 | Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 18:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 21:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 23:25 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 22:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |