0x1AFE26f04417868CF1CB058aefBBfc31F786b541-1781336727687
0x1afe26f04417868cf1cb058aefbbfc31f786b541
- Realised P&L
- $-2.14
- Volume
- $524.29
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $51.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.330 | $21.38 | +$16.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.135 | $16.72 | −$1.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.060 | $10.00 | −$9.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.095 | $2.85 | −$1.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$2.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$2.98 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.49 |
| 09-15 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1566247369 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0769449984 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0771803439 | $5.00 |