PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1AFE26f04417868CF1CB058aefBBfc31F786b541-1781336727687

0x1afe26f04417868cf1cb058aefbbfc31f786b541

Realised P&L
$-2.14
Volume
$524.29
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$51.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16? · Yes0.0770.330$21.38+$16.38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16? · Yes0.1440.135$16.72$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? · Yes0.1150.060$10.00$9.20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16? · Yes0.1400.095$2.85$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16? · Yes0.0300.001$0.05$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 16? · Yes0.0770.001$0.02$2.98

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:02Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.07$2.49
09-15 07:27Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.1566247369$10.00
09-15 06:23Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.03$3.00
09-15 06:23Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.0769449984$3.00
09-15 06:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-15 06:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.0771803439$5.00