qusanye
0x1afcf54fd7e5c47455976d3addef386bbe2e27b1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.08
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $17.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $15.12 | −$0.08 |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? · El-Sayed | 0.760 | 0.930 | $1.88 | +$0.34 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
| Heat vs. Magic · Heat | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.30at 0.850Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$0.17at 0.900Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:05 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.20 |
| 10-16 10:02 | Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.759999921 | $1.54 |
| 09-16 09:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999541 | $14.80 |
| 09-16 09:13 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.40 |
| 07-19 09:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.40 |
| 06-07 10:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999923 | $115.00 |
| 05-29 09:09 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.9989999922 | $114.00 |
| 05-26 09:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9969990269 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 08:34 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.00 |
| 05-12 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.00 |
| 05-01 07:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.00 |
| 04-26 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 51°C on April 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 04-26 07:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.80 |
| 04-26 07:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.99 |