0x1AF89f482089470035d4261505199FDcedB2fC24-1768216602385
0x1af89f482089470035d4261505199fdcedb2fc24
- Realised P&L
- $-3.30
- Volume
- $573.43
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $2.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.84at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.59at 0.385Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$1.58at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$1.52at 0.344Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$1.35at 0.557Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 5? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-26 07:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 30? | BUY | 0.0099502488 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 07:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.023880597 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 08:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.79 |
| 03-29 11:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 02-26 08:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $2.25 |
| 02-26 08:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 08:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 12:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 02-25 11:09 | Solana Up or Down - February 25, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 14:18 | Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $0.98 |
| 02-24 14:12 | Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.16 |
| 02-24 14:08 | Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $0.97 |
| 02-24 14:05 | Solana Up or Down - February 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $0.98 |
| 02-24 13:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.05 |