kentaki
0x1af083769cb568bc7bf703854f112e3596867b43
- Realised P&L
- $-3.92
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.015 | $1.81 | −$3.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.013 | $0.56 | −$4.44 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.95at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$7.27at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$5.78at 0.417Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
- +$5.23at 0.740Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$2.93at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.81 |
| 10-06 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 05:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $3.46 |
| 10-06 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 05:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $8.25 |
| 05-13 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.68 |
| 03-31 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $0.94 |