0x1aefa4d0e241af9c44d32b6fd4139c2043b38216
0x1aefa4d0e241af9c44d32b6fd4139c2043b38216
- Realised P&L
- $10.39
- Volume
- $434.43
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $7.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.928 | $1.72 | +$0.72 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? · No | 0.640 | 1.000 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.685 | 0.874 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No | 0.390 | 0.405 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.805 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.320 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.79at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$4.45at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.71at 0.350US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 12:19 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:19 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:19 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7339999031 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 00:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 16:19 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 08:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:02 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:44 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:41 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6849995376 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2849999943 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 04:44 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |