PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1aefa4d0e241af9c44d32b6fd4139c2043b38216

0x1aefa4d0e241af9c44d32b6fd4139c2043b38216

Realised P&L
$10.39
Volume
$434.43
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$7.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No0.5400.928$1.72+$0.72
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? · No0.6401.000$1.56+$0.56
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No0.6850.874$1.28+$0.28
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No0.3900.405$1.04+$0.04
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026? · No0.8100.805$0.99−$0.01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.6200.320$0.52−$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 12:19Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-20 04:19Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-19 08:19Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.7339999031$1.00
10-19 00:19Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-18 16:19United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?BUY0.64$1.00
10-18 08:18Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-18 00:02Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-17 15:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-17 05:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-16 21:41Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.6849995376$1.00
10-16 12:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-16 04:50S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-15 20:46Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2849999943$1.00
10-15 12:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-15 04:44Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.5$1.00