PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asd4rt

0x1ae963dcf369e4ad34fdd4d0bf52e786138cae15

Realised P&L
$3.56
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? · Yes0.5000.070$1.62−$9.92
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.86
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 8 2026? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$7.61
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 15:33Jets vs. Lions: O/U 67.5BUY0.94$8.13
09-08 01:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 8?BUY0.998$5.0k
07-07 14:34Spread: Egypt (-1.5)BUY0.985$7.78
07-02 13:39Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.987$6.12
06-24 12:22Spread: Qatar (-2.5)BUY0.995$15.59
06-10 01:06Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11?BUY0.991$6.94
06-06 03:03Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 8 2026?BUY0.9$7.61
05-26 00:46Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026?BUY0.96$8.54