asd4rt
0x1ae963dcf369e4ad34fdd4d0bf52e786138cae15
- Realised P&L
- $3.56
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.070 | $1.62 | −$9.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.86 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 8 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.93at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8?
- +$13.80at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on October 10?
- +$10.62at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13?
- +$0.52at 0.940Jets vs. Lions: O/U 67.5
- +$0.34at 0.962Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:33 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 67.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $8.13 |
| 09-08 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 07-07 14:34 | Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $7.78 |
| 07-02 13:39 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.12 |
| 06-24 12:22 | Spread: Qatar (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $15.59 |
| 06-10 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.991 | $6.94 |
| 06-06 03:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.61 |
| 05-26 00:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.54 |