PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

000kage000

0x1ae3a17f53e46b56dc00523d674ea3669a4493e9

Realised P&L
$-286.07
Volume
$26.0k
Markets traded
1,108
Open portfolio
$3.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,108
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:14Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.0200086894$1.00
09-21 04:35Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.25$1.00
09-21 04:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-21 04:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-19 07:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-19 07:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-19 07:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-17 22:46Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-17 22:46Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-17 07:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-16 06:42Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16?BUY0.470219362$1.00
09-14 02:42Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 15?SELL0.6$0.71
09-14 02:42Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 15?SELL0.04$0.10
09-14 02:42Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?SELL0.58$0.85
09-14 02:32Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 15?BUY0.3899999337$1.00