000kage000
0x1ae3a17f53e46b56dc00523d674ea3669a4493e9
- Realised P&L
- $-286.07
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,108
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,108
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.050Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$56.61at 0.261Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$54.48at 0.423Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?
- +$33.06at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$28.17at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0200086894 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.470219362 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.71 |
| 09-14 02:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.10 |
| 09-14 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.85 |
| 09-14 02:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |