PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1aE36EdB6D216f72a1F035F2372E47902c79a369-1772149654988

0x1ae36edb6d216f72a1f035f2372e47902c79a369

Realised P&L
$-13.28
Volume
$302.82
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$6.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.1400.105$3.75$1.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8700.945$2.17+$0.17
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6290.145$0.92$3.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 18:08Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.182$9.58
06-23 17:13Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
03-23 12:24Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.949$2.02
03-23 12:21Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.93$2.02
03-23 12:21Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.961$1.09
03-18 18:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.239999856$1.00
03-18 18:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.2699999656$4.00
03-18 18:38Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.973$3.59
03-18 11:19Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0689999387$1.00
03-17 01:35Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.38$0.54
03-16 01:01Maple Leafs vs. WildSELL0.12$0.17
03-15 22:33Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.43$1.84
03-15 22:32Maple Leafs vs. WildBUY0.7$1.00
03-14 11:01Rangers vs. WildBUY0.6699999196$1.00
03-14 11:01Avalanche vs. JetsBUY0.63$1.00