PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Yorukon

0x1ae08f884362642ada38668891c0d43dd437a364

Realised P&L
$-5.22
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$7.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed? · Yes0.1300.405$3.12+$2.12
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.225$1.13+$0.13
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.135$1.04+$0.04
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1440.116$0.80−$0.20
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.125$0.57−$0.43
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.3000.170$0.57−$0.43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3000.105$0.35−$0.65
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0270.002$0.06−$0.94
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.4680.025$0.05−$0.95
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 06:01Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-29 06:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?SELL0.964$1.15
08-27 19:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?BUY0.032$1.00
08-27 00:48Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?BUY0.08$1.00
08-21 19:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.0697766524$1.00
07-27 06:26Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2$1.00
07-27 06:26Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.143999886$1.00
07-27 06:26Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-27 06:20Will MrBeast's next video get at least 23 million views on day 2?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-25 09:25Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-24 20:23Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?SELL0.23$1.00
07-24 19:58Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.0073581038$1.00
07-24 19:50Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
07-24 19:40Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-24 19:37Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?SELL0.34$4.17