JaroKing
0x1ad8a074e7ee83bd4aa2d614f4ca9a06ffd65b77
- Realised P&L
- $-989.27
- Volume
- $248.8k
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $65.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.60at 0.126Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$62.00at 0.090US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$38.33at 0.225Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$37.33at 0.138Will Trump sue the BBC?
- +$33.38at 0.336Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-30 12:55 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-30 12:54 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 09-29 15:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 12:24 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.123 | $1.23 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-27 19:47 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-27 09:34 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.90 |
| 09-27 07:41 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.095 | $0.83 |
| 09-27 07:39 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-27 07:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-27 07:23 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-25 16:20 | LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.12 |
| 09-25 12:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.29 |