PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

e4A35

0x1ad11b10c3e65feb123d48b9501867ce81677c88

Realised P&L
$29.63
Volume
$124.8k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$67.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.515$20.60+$0.60
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.585$17.55−$0.45
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.969$14.53−$0.29
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9790.967$14.50−$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$8.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$24.64
Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$0.27
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00−$1.16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00−$1.03
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$1.62
Will Wisconsin be the closest state? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$0.38
Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$0.41
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:40Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.988$5.18
11-01 07:39Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.979$14.69
11-01 07:39Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5$20.00
11-01 07:39Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6$18.00
11-01 07:38Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$12.99
11-01 07:38Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$16.98
07-31 06:39Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.998$12.97
07-31 06:39Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.998$16.97
07-31 06:38Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$9.00
06-05 09:26Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?BUY0.999$24.98
06-05 09:26Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.99$14.85
06-05 09:25Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$43.91
06-05 09:25Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$12.18
06-05 09:24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$11.40
05-12 04:45Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?BUY0.997$120.64