e4A35
0x1ad11b10c3e65feb123d48b9501867ce81677c88
- Realised P&L
- $29.63
- Volume
- $124.8k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $67.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.48at 0.235Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.56at 0.643Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.71at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.85at 0.510Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.00at 0.620Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:40 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.18 |
| 11-01 07:39 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $14.69 |
| 11-01 07:39 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 07:39 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 07:38 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 11-01 07:38 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 07-31 06:39 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 07-31 06:39 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.97 |
| 07-31 06:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 06-05 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 06-05 09:26 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 06-05 09:25 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.91 |
| 06-05 09:25 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.18 |
| 06-05 09:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 05-12 04:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.64 |