Persephonerae
0x1acedca3c8fb711729e9c513cf79576c7a9a3ebf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $27.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-42.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston vs. Texas Tech · Texas Tech | 0.750 | 0.735 | $7.69 | −$0.16 |
| Spread: Georgia (-17.5) · Georgia | 0.690 | 0.685 | $6.95 | −$0.05 |
| Arizona State vs. Kansas · Arizona State | 0.660 | 0.665 | $6.71 | +$0.05 |
| Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware · Delaware | 0.670 | 0.645 | $6.45 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Pistons (-20.5) · Bucks | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.98 |
| Raptors vs. Nets · Raptors | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.12at 0.587Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$4.56at 0.769Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi Basiletti
- +$3.00at 0.834UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$1.44at 0.875Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.99at 0.910Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:22 | Arizona State vs. Kansas | BUY | 0.6599999723 | $6.66 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Spread: Georgia (-17.5) | BUY | 0.6899999754 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 10:21 | Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-14 10:21 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | BUY | 0.75 | $7.85 |
| 07-14 10:53 | Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi Basiletti | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 06-08 07:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 07:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 05-29 07:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 07:53 | Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 07:53 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $15.00 |
| 04-24 19:51 | Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.479999998 | $45.53 |
| 04-08 19:46 | Spread: Pistons (-20.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.40 |
| 03-26 13:25 | Knicks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 03-10 10:08 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.35 |
| 02-09 06:25 | Will Solana reach $180 in February? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.20 |