PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

esf4t

0x1acb97df2b72e03d490f969abfd3a1aa5105c739

Realised P&L
$27.20
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:04Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 28.5BUY0.96$7.57
08-15 02:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 15?BUY0.994$2.0k
08-15 02:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 15?BUY0.994$596.40
07-04 11:59Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)BUY0.992$5.56
06-23 13:42Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of June 22 2026?BUY0.97$10.48
06-18 07:23Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?BUY0.991$22.50
06-11 00:38United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5BUY0.972$5.56
06-02 11:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on June 3?BUY0.992$13.22
05-25 00:35Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 26?BUY0.97$11.13
05-15 01:42Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 Week of May 11 2026?BUY0.94$7.86
05-06 10:48Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?BUY0.981$18.97
04-21 13:15Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5BUY0.76$12.43
04-11 07:41Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.996$2.0k