0x1AC6b3153F79F907F00D4042B66ee59dE78EB2Ed-1770901895529
0x1ac6b3153f79f907f00d4042b66ee59de78eb2ed
- Realised P&L
- $-390.09
- Volume
- $140.0k
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $48.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.48at 0.052Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$241.66at 0.244Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$169.66at 0.315Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$92.14at 0.239Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
- +$65.32at 0.051Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:24 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.208284714 | $51.00 |
| 08-22 07:37 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3749876598 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 07:43 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1231042594 | $13.00 |
| 08-19 07:42 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 08-13 17:20 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 09:01 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1829826167 | $40.00 |
| 08-05 14:03 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2355250229 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2188481655 | $76.00 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.82 |
| 08-01 12:35 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 07:41 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 07:36 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 07:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:48 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-29 08:47 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1012395675 | $73.87 |