0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
- Realised P&L
- $85.2k
- Volume
- $4.00M
- Markets traded
- 58,693
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded58,693
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.3kat 0.108Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$12.8kat 0.815Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$11.7kat 0.092Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$9.7kat 0.276Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
- +$8.5kat 0.003Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.834 | $8.49 |
| 11-02 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.72 |
| 11-02 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.13 |
| 11-02 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.09 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.994 | $20.12 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.99 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.10 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.11 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.0060062696 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.64 |
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.37 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |