PolyBot

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Traders

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7

Realised P&L
$85.2k
Volume
$4.00M
Markets traded
58,693
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded58,693
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · Yes0.9110.996$329.73+$28.18
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8640.925$150.37+$9.88
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.2940.215$94.91−$35.09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3110.295$64.75−$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 2? · No0.9980.998$58.04+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2? · No0.9930.992$57.69−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 2? · No0.9970.990$57.58−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? · Yes0.7490.997$52.22+$12.99
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2? · No0.7980.815$47.41+$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? · No0.7360.730$27.06−$0.21
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8940.999$26.25+$2.74
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 2? · No0.4620.445$25.88−$1.01
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.9990.999$18.09−$0.01
Will Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.9990.999$18.09−$0.01
Will Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.9990.999$18.09−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.834$8.49
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?BUY0.54$2.72
11-02 00:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.015$0.15
11-02 00:16Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.994$13.13
11-02 00:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2?BUY0.99$5.09
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 3?BUY0.994$20.12
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.77$3.99
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.999$6.10
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2?BUY0.998$10.11
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 2?BUY0.0060062696$0.02
11-02 00:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2?BUY0.997$8.64
11-02 00:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.014$0.07
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.005$0.03
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2?BUY0.97$2.37
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.002$0.01