0x1ab528c786a0891a65d3be8b16be00f92fc360a0
0x1ab528c786a0891a65d3be8b16be00f92fc360a0
- Realised P&L
- $-10.33
- Volume
- $245.93
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.245 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.280 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.666SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.33at 0.554US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$0.98at 0.620Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:19 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:50 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:01 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 01:10 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999117 | $1.57 |
| 08-27 05:04 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.57 |
| 08-26 23:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.02 |
| 08-24 16:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999604 | $1.57 |
| 08-24 08:34 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999175 | $1.57 |
| 08-24 00:28 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999144 | $1.57 |
| 08-23 14:53 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.3099998717 | $1.57 |
| 08-22 18:58 | Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.609999965 | $1.57 |