0x1aAC1770065E6c1aF8F5648B5961F9B3a4fb8b50-1770749015162
0x1aac1770065e6c1af8f5648b5961f9b3a4fb8b50
- Realised P&L
- $-125.67
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $4.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
- +$11.53at 0.007Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$10.45at 0.618Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
- +$8.16at 0.270Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$7.00at 0.250Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-18 20:46 | Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Milk" or "Ice Cream" 3+ times on Hot Ones? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 02-18 20:45 | Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.027 | $3.86 |
| 02-16 10:13 | T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1) | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 10:11 | Will "Terrorist" or "Terrorism" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22) | BUY | 0.3090908894 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 16:33 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 02-15 16:29 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0023989445 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:29 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:29 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:28 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:28 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:28 | Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 16:26 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.45 |
| 02-13 09:08 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1299999775 | $4.51 |
| 02-13 09:06 | T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |