all.
0x1aa9592b8d0d70e4ecad0e79bf41d3931803d9b0
- Realised P&L
- $-150.98
- Volume
- $94.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $63.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.027 | $40.87 | −$25.01 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.067 | $13.40 | −$2.40 |
| Will Solana reach $170 in October? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.045 | $9.06 | +$1.09 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 4? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.02at 0.157Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$259.06at 0.605Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$99.94at 0.150Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$79.78at 0.007Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
- +$61.05at 0.671Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | SELL | 0.10219998 | $51.10 |
| 10-04 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.041 | $20.50 |
| 10-04 09:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.044 | $17.60 |
| 10-04 09:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.55 |
| 10-04 08:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.047 | $18.33 |
| 10-04 08:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 4? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.97 |
| 10-04 07:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0459237 | $22.96 |
| 10-04 07:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0336818182 | $3.71 |
| 10-03 21:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 10-03 04:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 04:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 10-02 04:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.079 | $15.80 |
| 08-09 17:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.96 |
| 08-05 13:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.032 | $38.40 |