qinlaoban
0x1aa20e9c2b2a3963dabb3bf8b36b39abbe2030cc
- Realised P&L
- $-75.1k
- Volume
- $4.96M
- Markets traded
- 1,161
- Open portfolio
- $12.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,161
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) · Golden State Valkyries | 0.490 | 0.475 | $4.2k | −$133.06 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pacers | 0.500 | 0.495 | $3.0k | −$29.80 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) · Kings | 0.480 | 0.475 | $2.8k | −$28.95 |
| Spread: Pacers (-2.5) · Pacers | 0.540 | 0.535 | $1.4k | −$12.87 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Kings | 0.520 | 0.505 | $874.04 | −$25.96 |
| Spread: Clippers (-3.5) · Kings | 0.440 | 0.435 | $662.39 | −$7.61 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? · No | 0.375 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 · Under | 0.514 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) · Nuggets | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$157.00 |
| AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5) · Nets | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.7kat 0.425Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score
- +$17.3kat 0.500France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
- +$16.9kat 0.491Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$14.5kat 0.507Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
- +$13.8kat 0.517Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:50 | Spread: Pacers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $1.0k |
| 10-21 17:42 | Spread: Pacers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $390.00 |
| 10-21 17:41 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $240.00 |
| 10-21 17:15 | Spread: Clippers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $670.00 |
| 10-21 17:14 | Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $900.00 |
| 10-21 17:11 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $800.00 |
| 10-21 17:05 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $940.00 |
| 10-21 17:04 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 10-21 16:56 | Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $780.00 |
| 10-21 16:55 | Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 16:55 | Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 14:43 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1.4k |
| 10-21 14:28 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $147.00 |
| 10-21 14:26 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $700.00 |
| 10-21 14:26 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $700.00 |