repsavage
0x1aa1b3241af571db16c5bef34a50005343ffd4c8
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $27.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.550 | $27.50 | +$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.41at 0.215Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?
- +$314.50at 0.516Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
- +$272.09at 0.538Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
- +$248.13at 0.808Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 17?
- +$203.20at 0.314Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 12:07 | Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | SELL | 0.3362333333 | $100.87 |
| 03-26 16:03 | Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" during Cabinet meeting on March 26? | BUY | 0.95 | $17.95 |
| 03-25 09:46 | Will Trump say "TSA" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 03-25 09:46 | Will Trump say "Beautiful Woman" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.55 |
| 03-24 23:22 | Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.7097560976 | $145.50 |
| 03-24 23:22 | Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 03-24 23:16 | Will Trump say "ID" or "Identification" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $12.79 |
| 03-24 23:13 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.598 | $59.80 |
| 03-24 23:10 | Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 03-24 23:05 | Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.53 | $185.50 |
| 03-24 23:04 | Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 03-24 23:02 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.6266666667 | $18.80 |
| 03-24 23:01 | Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.6683333333 | $40.10 |
| 03-24 23:01 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.7494666667 | $224.84 |
| 03-24 22:59 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.6485738783 | $226.94 |